By George B.N. Ayittey
(Testimony before the U.S. House Sub-Committee on Africa on April 13, 1999).
Mr. Chairman, Ladies and
Gentlemen. Thank you for inviting me to
speak
to you on debt relief for Africa. I must
commend you for holding this
hearing to tackle this important issue. As you already
know, Africa is a
sad and tragic story -- economically and
politically.
The statistics on Africa's
postcolonial development record are
horrifying.
In 1985 more than 100 million of Africa's 700 million people
lived in abject poverty.
This number rose to 216 million in 1990 and
is
projected to reach 304 million by the year
2000. Recently there has been
a slight improvement in Africa's economic performance over the
2 percent
growth
rate in the early 1990s. In 1996, for example, Africa's gross
domestic product did
register a 5 percent rate of growth.
However,
subtract an average population growth
rate of 3 percent and that leaves
miserly rates of growth of less than 2 percent in GDP per
capita. This
rate
would not be sufficient to reduce Africa's average poverty rates,
which are among the
highest in the world. In fact, a recent report
from
the International Labor Organization
estimates that in Sub-Saharan
Africa, the proportion of the population living in poverty
will increase
to
over 50% by the year 2000.
Efforts to improve Africa's economic
performance have been crippled by
a crushing
foreign debt burden. Additionally, the debt overhang
seriously impairs
Africa&rsquos ability to carry out reform.
Total African
foreign debt has risen 24-fold
since 1970 to a staggering $320
billion
in 1996 which was equal to its yearly
GNP), making the region the most
heavily indebted in the world. (Latin America's debt amounted
to
approximately 60 percent of its GNP.)
Currently debt service obligations
absorb about 40 percent of export revenue, leaving scant
foreign
exchange for the importation of capital
goods, essential spare parts,
and medical supplies. Only about half of the outstanding
debts are
actually
being paid while on the other half, arrearages are
continually
being rescheduled.
A large chunk of Africa&rsquos
foreign debt - about 80 percent - is owed to
Western governments and multi-lateral financial and
development
institutions such as the World Bank,
the IMF and the UNDP. The loans
were extended to African governments under various foreign
aid programs
at
concessional rates (below market interest rates with a grace period
and a longer term to
maturity) to finance development projects and
to
fund Structural Adjustment Programs, SAPs,
(economic restructuring) and
democratization programs in Africa. The general consensus
among African
development analysts is that foreign aid to Africa has not
been
effective. For example, between 1980 and
1988, sub-Saharan Africa
received $83 billion in
aid. Yet all that aid failed to spur
economic
growth, arrest Africa&rsquos
economic atrophy, or promote democracy.
The
continent is littered with a multitude of
"black elephants&rdquo
(basilicas,
grandiose monuments, grand
conference halls, and show airports)
amid
institutional decay, crumbling
infrastructure and environmental
degradation.
Nor has "adjustment lending&rdquo
by the World Bank and the IMF made much
impact
on poverty reduction in Africa. In fact, the World
Bank&rsquos own
Report, Adjustment Lending
in Africa released in March 1994
confirmed
this. The World Bank evaluated the
performance of 29 African countries
it had provided more than $20 billion in funding to
sponsor Structural
Adjustment Programs (SAPs) over a ten-year period, 1981-1991,
and
concluded that, only six African countries
had performed well: The
Gambia, Burkina Faso, Ghana, Nigeria, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe.
Six out of
29 gives
a failure rate in excess of 80 percent. More
distressing, the
World Bank concluded, "no
African country has achieved a
sound
macro-economic policy stance.&rdquo
Since then, the World Bank&rsquos list
of
"success stories&rdquo has shrunk. The
Gambia, Nigeria and Zimbabwe are no
longer on the list and even on Ghana, the World
Bank&rsquos own Operations
Evaluation Department noted in its December 1995 Report
that, "although
Ghana has been projected as a success story, prospects
for satisfactory
growth rates and poverty reduction are
uncertain.&rdquo
It is generally agreed that mistakes
were made on both the donor and
recipient sides.
On the donor side, the allocation of foreign aid
was
often determined more by ideological
considerations: To support Cold-War
allies (the late Mobutu Sese Seko of Zaire; the late
General Samuel Doe
of Liberia; the late General Siad Barre of Somalia), and to
woo various
Marxist
leaders from the Soviet bloc (Flt./Lte. Jerry Rawlings of Ghana;
Chissano of Mozambique;
dos Santos of Angola).
Second, much Western aid to Africa
was tied, thereby reducing its
effectiveness. A
1995 Foreign Aid study was conducted by the
Freedom
Support Coalition, chaired by former
Congressman Dave Nagle noted that
"80 percent of U.S. foreign aid is spent in the
United States buying
food, equipment, expertise and services&rdquo (The
Washington Times, 13
October, 1995; A17). Even then, U.S. AID was plagued
with cronyism:
"Ninety-five percent of procurement went to a few firms
that only did
business with AID. They were inside-the-Beltway firms
that employed
former AID staffers, said Larry Bryne, the assistant administrator for
management&rdquo (The Washington Times, 19 August 1995;
A8). Similarly, "an
estimated 80 percent of French aid to Africa comes back to
France in
salaries,
orders, and profits&rdquo (Biddlecombe, 1994).
Third, Western governments and
development agencies failed to exercise
prudence
in the grant of aid and loans to African governments. Much
Western aid to Africa was
used to finance grandiose projects of
little
economic value and to underwrite
economically ruinous policies.
There
are many horrifying blunders. In Senegal,
the U.S. built silos in 1983
and placed them in locations peasant farmers never visited.
In the
1980s,
Canada funded a fully-automated modern bakery in Tanzania but
there was no flour to bake
bread. In Somalia, the Italian funded
a
banana-boxing plant but the production
capacity needed to make the plant
break even exceeded the country&rsquos entire output
of bananas. And in
northern Kenya, Norwegian aid officials built fish-freezing
plant to
help the
Turkana people. The only problem was the Turkana people do not
fish; they raise
goats.
Fourth, foreign aid allocations were
often cocooned in bureaucratic red
tape and
shrouded in secrecy. The programs lacked transparency and the
people being helped
were seldom consulted. In this way, the donors
set
themselves up to be duped. As Reps. Benjamin
Gilman and Lee H. Hamilton
wrote in a letter to Secretary of State Warren Christopher
in July 1995,
"Zaire under Mobutu represents perhaps the most
egregious example of the
misuse of U.S. assistance resources. The U.S. has given
Mobutu nearly
$1.5
billion in various forms of aid since Mobutu came to power in 1965.
Mobutu claims that
during the Cold War he and his fellow African
autocrats were concerned with fighting Soviet influence and
were unable
to
concentrate on creating viable economic and political systems. The
reality is that during this
time, Mr. Mobutu was becoming on the
of
world&rsquos wealthiest individuals while
the people of Zaire, a once-wealthy
country, were pauperized&rdquo (The Washington Times, 6
July 1995; A18).
More maddening, the West knew that
billions of dollars were being
transferred to
Swiss and foreign banks by greedy African leaders
and
elites. "Every franc we give impoverished
Africa comes back to France or
is smuggled into Switzerland and even Japan,&rdquo wrote
the Paris daily, Le
Monde in March 1990. In an interview, Edward Jaycox, the
former World
Bank&rsquos Vice President for Africa, complained
bitterly: "How many African
governments put a top priority on alleviating poverty?
I can&rsquot even
think of three. When has the military given up its toys? When
has a
diplomatic
mission been closed in the interests of poverty
alleviation?
When has the role of women been
enhanced in any of these African
countries,
without outside interference?&rdquo (African
Recovery,
April-September 1994;
9).
Fifth and finally, SAPs or
"adjustment lending&rdquo failed because of
design flaws, sequencing, pedagogical inanities, and
other factors. The
commitment to reform has demonstrably been weak in Africa.
Even when
reform -
both economic and political -- is accepted, it is poorly
implemented. While implementation problems cannot be blamed
on the World
Bank
or the donors, the programs sponsored by the donors were themselves
fraught with design
flaws. In many cases, SAPs amounted to
reorganizing
a bankrupt company and placing it,
together with massive infusion of
new
loans or capital, in the hands of the same
incompetent managers who
ruined it in the first place. Additionally, SAPs
assumed development
occurred in a vacuum. That civil wars, environmental
degradation,
infrastructural deterioration and
general state of terror and
violence
in Africa have no effect on economic
development. Accordingly, the World
Bank lent billions to various African countries to
restructure their
economies that were being ravaged by civil war: Algeria,
Angola,
Burundi, Ethiopia, Mozambique, and
others.
More serious perhaps was the belief
by the World Bank that economic
restructuring
alone was sufficient to lift Africa out of poverty.
It is
clear to most by now that the economic and
political systems in Africa
are fused. Therefore, economic reform without a
concomitant political
reform is an exercise in futility. It was only after the
collapse of the
Soviet Union in 1989 that democratization was added as a
new political
conditionality for receipt of Western aid. Even then,
sequencing is
critical in this regard since reform is needed in many areas
as well:
governance, establishing transparency in government
procurement,
professionalism in the armed and
security forces, estabilishing the
rule
of law (institutional reform) and promoting
intellectual freedom
(respect for freedom of
expression and of thought) and reducing
government control of the media and facilitate the free flow
of
information, etc.
I believe that the critical first
step in reforming a state-controlled
society
must begin with intellectual freedom. That is, the
removal of
restrictions on the flow of
information by privatizing state-owned
or
controlled media (newspapers, radio, and
television), lifting of
censorship rules and the
banishment of criminal libel suits, which
have
now become the choice weapon of African
autocrats to gag the press. The
importance of intellectual freedom can be recognized by the
fact that,
ultimately, it is Africans who must devise their own "African solutions
for their
African problems" but cannot do so in an
environment of brutal
repression, where
criticism of government policies result in a jail
or
even death. More importantly, reform which is
internally generated is
far more sustainable than that imposed from without.
Africans need an
intellectually free environment to expose, debate and find
their own
solutions. Once they have this freedom, Africans themselves
will
determine the typed of democratic and
economic systems best suited for
them. Currently, a free press exists in only 10
African countries. But
tragically, intellectual reform or freedom has scarcely
captured the
attention of Western donors who still focus on economic
and political
liberalization and, thus, put the cart before the
horse.
On the
recipient side, so many blunders were committed by African
governments. The cardinal principle of borrowing requires
that the loan
be
used productively to generate a net income over and above that
required for debt repayment or amortization. But in case
after case in
Africa, foreign loans were squandered, flouting this
principle. Some of
the external loans were used to finance reckless
government spending; to
establish grandiose loss-making state enterprises and
other "black
elephants"; to purchase weapons to slaughter the
African people; while
the rest was simply squandered.
How Foreign Loans Were
Squandered
A "debt crisis" simply means
inability to meet service obligations
on
an existing debt; that is, paying interest
and principal on time.
Africa's debt crisis or
"problem loans" originate from three
basic
missteps. First, many of the loans were
simply "consumed" and therefore,
did not generate the returns neded to repay the loan. Second,
in many
other
cases, the loans were indeed "invested" in projects
but they
turned out to be hopelessly
unproductive. Third, some of the
foreign
loans that were contracted were of a
"questionable nature."
(i) Consumption
Loans
"Consumption" loans are three in
nature. The first is borrowing from
abroad to
finance a budget deficit on the current account. Such a loan
simply finances recurrent
expenditures; for example, paying civil
servants' salaries. The use of the loan produces no
foreign exchange. If
the loan is used to finance a deficit on the capital
account, such as a
new office building or telephone system, it must produce or
save enough
foreign
exchange to service the loan. But in general, this is difficult
to achieve and
explains why such countries as Tanzania, which
borrowed
to finance budget deficits, have
repayment problems.
A second type of consumption loan is
borrowing abroad to finance
imports of consumer
goods (corned beef, sardines, Mercedes Benzes,
TV
sets, etc.). In this case, the loan is simply
consumed and there will be
nothing to show for it; no foreign exchange saved or
earned. Ghana,
Nigeria and Cameroon borrowed much abroad to buy consumer
goods. In the
early
1980s, for example, more than half of Tanzania's imports were
financed by loans from
foreign governments.
The third type of consumption loan is
that taken to purchase arms and
ammunition --
perhaps the most pernicious and destructive use,
given
Africa's never-ending cycles of violence
and war. No income generated to
repay the loan. Ethiopia, Angola, Mozambique, Libya,
Chad, Somalia and
Uganda all borrowed heavily to purchase weapons to wage
various civil
wars.
Currently, Ethiopia and Eritrea are purchasing huge amounts of
weapons to prosecute their
border war. If conflicts can be
settled
through dialogue and negotiation at very
little cost, then there is
little point in having a poor nation to borrow heavy amounts
and wage
military
conflicts. What Africa spends on arms, much of which is bought
with foreign loans, in
the teeth of its famine crisis, defies
common
sense.
(ii) Unproductive Investments
The other general mis-step was the
investment of loan proceeds in
projects, mostly
state-owned enterprises, that turned out to be
towering
black elephants. Africa has more than
3,000 state enterprises (SEs) but
their performance has been nothing short of the scandalous.
These
enterprises, set up with foreign loans,
were supposed to earn or save
the foreign exchange needed to service or pay back the
loan. Instead,
they
racked up losses upon losses, used up more foreign exchange and
compounded the debt crisis.
The state enterprises could not fill
the
shortfall in production. Inevitably, the
results were greater
inefficiency, excess
capacity, and economic retrogression. In Ghana,
for
example:
The State Meat
Factory at Bolgatanga was closed for nine months;
yet
employees were paid in full for the entire
period" (West Africa, 1981;
p.2884).
For 14 months, from November 1978 to January 1980,
the State Jute Bag
Factory was closed due to a shortage of raw materials. Yet,
the 1,000
workers
received full pay for the entire period of closure
[Punch, 14-20
August 1981, p.4].
The Boatyard
Division of GIHOC at Mumford Village in the Apam
District
(Central Region) has launched only 6
vessels with a workforce of 40
employees since its establishment 9 years ago"
(Daily Graphic, 14
August, 1981; p.8).
The pre-fab factory
started by the Russians in 1962 has not produced
a
single home. Yet, 500 Ghanaian workers and 13
Soviet experts were
drawing salaries for a
period of 6 years [Graphic, 6 December
1978,
p.5].
The picture elsewhere in
Africa was pretty much the same:
In Nigeria, most state enterprises
are triumphs of towering
inefficiency. Consider
the rate of capacity utilization of a
random
selection from the Central Bank's 1992
Annual Report: Nigerian Machine
Tools: 8 percent; Nigerian Paper Mill, Jebba: 12.1
percent; Nigerian
Newsprint Manufacturing Company: 13.3 percent; Jukura
Mable Plant: 1
percent; the Nigerian Sugar Company: an impressive 72
percent. The
Nigerian National Paper Manufacturing Company did not
make anything at
all: "construction work which started in 1977 was yet to
be completed
due to
lack of funds" (The Economist, Aug 21, 1993; Survey
p.9).
The Tunisian Government runs the airline, the steel
mill, the phosphate
mines and 150 factories employing a third of Tunisian
workers. Mr. Ben
Ali doesn't want them jobless, hanging around mosques.
Before 1990, 35
companies were sold off; fewer than 20 have sold
since.
Private businessman Afif
Kilani bought one called Comfort, a
featherbed for 1,200 workers who built 15,000 refrigerators
a year. Mr.
Kilani
paid $3.3 million for the place in 1990. Now it has 600 workers
and makes 200,000
refrigerators a year. "Like all state companies,
its
point was to support the maximum number of
jobs," he says from behind a
big glass desk. "It was social work. A sort of welfare." (The Wall
Street
Journal, June 22, 1995; p.A11).
Tanzania's state-owned Morongo Shoe Company (MSC)
was financed by the
World Bank. Based on abundant supplies of hides and skins,
the project
was
supposed to be a low-technology, economies of scale activity that
would expand the country's
exports. About 80 percent of the shoes
were
to be shipped to Europe. But when the plant
became operational in the
1980s, "MSC achieved just over 5 percent capacity utilization . . . By
1986, the
figure was below 3 percent. Most of the machines were never
used, quality and design
were absymal, and unit costs were very high
and
the factory was eventually abandoned" (Luke,
1995; p.154).
A tin can manufacturing plant in Kenya had such
high production costs
that cans full of vegetables could be imported from
Asian competitors
cheaper than this Kenyan company's cost for the cans alone.
The Kenya
government estimated that over $1.4 billion had been invested
in state
enterprises by the early 1980s. Yet, their annual average
return had
been 0.2
percent (Goldman, The Backgrounder, p.10). As Mr. E.A. Sai,
member-Secretary of
Ghana's Committee of Secretaries, observed:
Apart from a few success stories in the management
of public
enterprises in Africa, such as in the Kenya Tea
Development Authority,
Botswana's Meat Commission, Tanzania's Electricity Company,
The Guma
Valley
Water Company of Sierra Leone and Ghana's Volta River Authority,
the record of state
enterprises had been poor" (West Africa, 16
May,
1988; p.897).
(iii) Corruption, Fraud and
Shady Deals
Considerable evidence exists to
suggest that many foreign loans were
contracted
under rather dubious and corrupt circumstances.
Nigeria, for
example, does not know if its
foreign debt is really $35 billion or
not.
Back in 1990, Chief Olu Falae, Secretary to
the Federal military
government, announced after
a debt verification exercise that "over
30
billion naira (or $4.5 billion) of Nigeria's
external debt was
discovered to be `fraudulent
and spurious'" (West Africa, Sept 25 -
Oct
1, 1990; p.1614). And while the country sank
deep into debt, Nigeria's
former military rulers amassed huge personal fortunes --
former General
Ibrahim Babangida with an estimated fortune of $8 billion
and even the
late
General Sani Abacha who massed $5 billion after only 4 years in
office.
In 1995, Ghana's foreign debt stood
at $5 billion with a population of
17 million.
To finance its industrialization drive, Nkrumah
borrowed
heavily from abroad under
supplier&rsquos credit. In a supplier's
credit
arrangment, a fast-talking equipment
pedlar would sell Glana an
equipment over a
period of time, generally 4 to 6 years. The pedlar
then
would obtain credit from private banks and
have it guaranteed by his own
country's governmental export credit insurance
organization. After this
arrangement, any future dealings will be between Ghana and
the export
credit
organization; not with the pedlar. He was paid and gone.
Indeed, under supplier's credit
arrangements, Ghana bought in many
cases
obsolete equipment at inflated prices and contracted a huge
foreign debt between 1961 and 1966. For example, the expensive
3
Illyushin jets Ghana bought from the Soviets,
at a time when Ghana
Airways was having difficulty filling its planes, turned out
to be old
jets that
had been repainted. The British firm, Parkinson-Howard, sold
Ghana a huge dry dock
which laid idle for 9 years after it was
commissioned in 1969. The German "equipment-monger", Stahlunion, build a
sheet glass
plant with a capacity of nearly 3 times the size of
the
local market. The plant was never brought in
operation and later had to
be converted at an extra cost of 2.5 million cedis
for bottle-making.
When that was completed too, the same government imported
large
quantities of bottles from Czechoslovakia
and China to make it difficult
for the factory to sell its bottles. A Parliamentary
Report suspected
that the plant supplied Ghana's Vegetable Oil Mills "was
of pre-war
manufacture and had been lying idle for more than 30 years
before being
shipped to Ghana" (Public Accounts Committee, 1965;
p.9).
A Ghana Government investigation
(Apaloo Commission, 1967) reported
Parkinson-Howard, which built the Accra-Tema Motorway;
Tema Harbor
extension; the dry docks and steelworks, paid a total of
$680,000 in
bribes
between 1958 and 1963 in three installments to certain ministers.
In most cases, the
bribes were 5 to 10 percent of the value of
the
contract.
In recent years, there have been
persistent allegations of corruption
and fraud
in the use of aid to Ghana: "The British
environmental group,
Friends of the Earth, says
millions of dollars in overseas aid --
going
to Ghana's timber sector -- have been
diverted by local and foreign
logging firms which got development aid from the British
Overseas
Development Administration and the
World Bank" (The African Letter,
March 16-31, 1992; p.1). Even refugee aid was not
spared. Mattresses,
rations and other relief supplies to Liberian refugees
encamped at
Budunburam in Ghana were regularly pilfered by the
authorities. When a
Liberian refugee by name of Oscar complained, "the
Ghanaian soldiers
beat him" (Index on Censorship, April 1996).
External loans contracted
privately on behalf of Ghana was subject
to
much abuse and fraud, according to Mary
Stella Ankomah, MP for Wassa
Mpohor in the Fourth Republic:
" A member of parliament
for the Wassa-Mpohor constituency,
has
disclosed that the government pays agency
fees on loans it contracts.
Miss Ankomah also said that the government pays what it
terms
"exposure fees" before loans are granted
to the country.
The
MP explained that the government claims it pays
middlemen, who
lead Ghana to negotiate loans on
its behalf, a certain percentage that
these
agents demand.
She
said when the minority MPs smelt some fishy deals
in the whole
exercise, they invited the Deputy
Minister of Finance, Mr. Victor
Selormey,
to explain the term "agent and
exposure fees" to the House.
According to Miss Ankomah, the Minister said there
are some
benevolent Ghanaians in the United
States who negotiate loans for the
country under the condition that they are paid a
certain percentage.
Under one of such conditions, the MP said the government paid
out 27
percent of
an $8 million loan recently given to the country by an
European country.
The
MP wondered how a country with a Minister of
Finance and an
economic team which oversees the
economic performance of the country
should
contact an agent in contractual bids. She
described the Minister's
explanation as a big farce (The Independent, Aug 28 - Sept
4, 1996; p.1).
The worse part is much of the
funds embezzled by Africa's
kleptocrats
are siphoned out to overseas banks.
An estimated $20 billion--more than
what Africa receives in foreign aid -- flees the
continent annually. In
1988, for example, France sent $2,591 million in aid to
Africa, but in
the
same year, according to the Independent, "[n]early CFA 3.5
billion--47 percent of the
total issue--was exchanged in Europe by
the
Bank of France, some of it exported in
suitcases" (June 19, 1990). "One
Nigerian banker guesses that Nigerian [kleptocrats] have at
least $25
billion
in foreign bank accounts. A recent World Bank survey reckoned
that capital flight
during the 1980s may have reached $50 billion
(The
Economist, 21 August 1993, Survey, 10). "A
Nigerian man and a banker
accompanying him were arrested at the Lagos airport after
trying to
board a
London-bound jet with $800 million in cash. Customs
officials
said the seizure was the biggest
recorded in Nigeria. The banker
accompanied the
other man apparently so that customs officials
would not
ask questions. The money has since
been deposited in the Central Bank
of
Nigeria" (The Washington Times, 29 July 1995,
A7).
In Kenya, "critics of the Moi
government say that many of the people in
government have the biggest accounts in foreign banks and
that there is
more
money from Kenyans in foreign banks than the entire Kenyan foreign
debt, which is about $8
billion" (The Washington Times, August 3,
1995;
p.A18). According to one United Nations
estimate, "$200 billion or 90
percent of the sub-Saharan part of the continent's gross
domestic
product (much of it illicitly earned),
was shipped to foreign banks in
1991 alone" (The New York Times, 4 February 1996; page
4). Note that the
huge amount involved was more than half of Africa's total
foreign debt.
RECOMMENDATIONS
Mr. Chairman, Ladies and Gentlemen,
it is clear that mistakes were made
by both
donors (creditors) and recipients (borrowers) and
therefore
corrective action must be taken by
both sides. Since the loans cannot
be
repaid and some debt relied is needed. The
dilemma, then, is how to
provide this debt relief without at the same time
rewarding reckless and
incompetent management. On the donor (creditor) side,
greater
transparency and more input by the
African people -- not only their
governments -- are required. Clearly, those on whose behalf
loans are
being
contracted must have a say on the terms of the loans and the uses
to which these loans
are put.
On the recipient (African borrowers)
side, debt relief without a
concomitant
fundamental change in errant debt-producing behavior would
be meaningless. If
someone is deeply in consumer credit card debt,
you
just don't wipe off their debt and grant
them the same access to their
credit cards without counselling. Therefore, I am opposed
to outright
debt
relief without conditionalities. I believe the following conditions
should be attached
to the African Debt Relief Bill.
A full public accounting of external
loans must be made before any debt
relief is
offered. The reason for this should be obvious. The
people of
Africa want to know what the external
loans contracted on their behalf
were used for. There must be some accountability to
prevent reckless
behavior and debt mismanagement in the future.
In fact, angry Africans are already
demanding accountability and
th